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Chapter Three. The Flat Line and the Cliff. When Capability Doesn't Announce Itself artificial intelligence systems don't improve gradually across the board. They stay flat, then jump, and nobody knows which abilities will appear next, at what scale, or what the evaluation to catch them in advance should even look like. In February 2019, OpenAI did something unusual for a technology company. It finished building something and then decided not to release it. The company had just completed a l